HomeAlternativeSoft MCPAI-assisted fund analysis
Thought leadership

Your analysts already talk to AI. Now your fund data can join the conversation.

What happens when an AI assistant analyses a hedge fund using numbers from an analytics engine instead of its own memory, and why that difference decides whether you can trust the answer.

AlternativeSoft30 October 20266 minute read
What the assistant returned
Annualised return11.61%
Sharpe ratio1.68
Three-year peer rankTop 20%
Annual alpha (t = 4.30)9.42%
Anonymised multi-strategy hedge fund. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Ask a general-purpose AI assistant to analyse a hedge fund and you will get a fluent answer in seconds. Ask where the Sharpe ratio came from and the answer is often less comfortable.

Language models are very good at writing and unreliable at arithmetic on data they cannot see. For a fund selector that is the whole problem, because the value of an analysis sits in the numbers. A confident paragraph built on a figure the model half remembered is worse than no paragraph at all.

Most allocation teams are already using AI in some form. The question that matters now is not whether analysts will ask an assistant about funds. It is whether the figures that come back can be traced to data you already trust.

The assistant asks. The engine answers.

The approach we have taken is simple to describe. Through the Model Context Protocol, an AI assistant is connected to the AlternativeSoft analytics engine. When an analyst asks a question in plain language, the assistant does not estimate the answer. It requests the calculation, the engine computes it from the underlying return series, and the assistant writes up what came back.

The model does the language. The engine does the mathematics. Every figure in the example below was computed that way, and none was generated by the model.

What came back

The test: We asked an AI assistant, connected to AlternativeSoft MCP, to analyse an anonymised multi-strategy relative value hedge fund over the 36 months to September 2026, and to say whether it suits a cautious, first-time investor.
11.61%Annualised return, against 7.27% for the HFRI Relative Value (Total) Index
4.24%Annualised volatility
1.68Sharpe ratio, against 1.52 for the index
Top 20%Of 207 peers over three years

The headline numbers are strong. The fund returned 11.61% a year with 4.24% volatility, a Sharpe ratio of 1.68 at a 4.50% risk-free rate. Its maximum drawdown was 2.51% in March 2025, recovered by May 2025. Against the 207 funds in its peer group, its annualised return of 11.61% compared with a peer median of 8.03%, which put it in the top 20%.

The analysis did not stop at the headlines, and that is what separates a useful analysis from a summary.

The risk with AI in fund research is not that it cannot write. It is that it can write confidently about numbers it has never calculated. When the assistant asks and the engine answers, every figure can be traced back to data you already trust.

Laurent Favre, Chief Executive Officer, AlternativeSoft

Three questions a good analysis answers

1. Compared with what?

A return on its own says very little. The same 11.61% means something different against a peer median of 8.03% than it does against a benchmark that returned 21.29%. Peer ranking supplies the context, but only if you know how the peer group was built.

We ran a second example on a large French flexible allocation UCITS fund against 318 French-domiciled peers. The report showed where the fund stood out: in 2020 it returned 12.4% against a peer median of 1.3%, ahead of 90% of its peers. It also showed where it did not. Its annualised return of 3.3% and Sharpe ratio of 0.05 sat below the peer medians of 4.3% and 0.12. The report itself warned that the peer group mixes money market, bond, equity and flexible allocation funds, and that the results should be read with care. A good analysis tells you where a fund does not stand out as plainly as where it does.

2. What is driving the return?

For the hedge fund, a two-step Lasso factor replication on 36 monthly observations found annual alpha of 9.42% with a t-statistic of 4.30. Factor exposures, such as FX carry, FX trend, commodities and equity beta, explained only 1.66% of the 11.61% return. The rest was not explained by the factors.

That is a strong result, and the sample is short. Thirty-six observations against sixteen candidate factors is a thin base, and a careful analyst should say so. The report does.

3. What does it cost, and is the data complete?

Estimated total fees were 2.90% a year, below the peer median of 3.19%, and the alpha covered them 3.25 times. Yet the performance fee collected, 2.90% against a peer median of 1.81%, ranked 167th of 206 funds when ordered from cheapest.

This is where the one caution sat. Only the 20% performance fee is recorded for the fund, so the fee estimate leaves out any management fee or pass-through costs. The fund has also lost 2.3% since July 2026 and remained below its June peak at the end of September. A fluent summary could have buried either point. The report put both in plain sight.

How to judge any AI-generated fund analysis

Whether or not you use our engine, four checks apply to any analysis an assistant produces for you.

  • Trace every number. If nobody can say which calculation on which data produced a figure, treat it as unverified.
  • Insist on the caution. An analysis that finds nothing to worry about has probably not looked hard enough.
  • Check the sample and the peer group. A top-20% rank means little without knowing how many funds, which funds and over what window.
  • Separate return from skill, and skill from fees. Alpha after factors, and fees measured against it, tell you more than any headline return.

From a sample fund to yours

The example above is anonymised, but the method is not specific to it. The same engine and the same connection can analyse any fund in your universe, from a plain-English question. Below is the full interactive factsheet from the test. Open it, filter it and judge the depth for yourself, then tell us which of your funds you would like to see analysed.

Source: AlternativeSoft analysis. Data from the AlternativeSoft analytics connector, 36 months to 30 September 2026. Benchmarks: HFRI Relative Value (Total) Index and S&P 500 Index. Peer groups: 207 constituents of the HFRI Relative Value (Total) Index; 318 French-domiciled UCITS funds with AUM above $500m. The hedge fund is anonymised. For professional and qualified investors only. This article is for information and is not investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

The full analysis

Explore the interactive factsheet

Every table, chart and ranking from the test, open for you to filter and enlarge. Prefer to read offline? Download the branded PDF.

Download the PDF report
Fund factsheet · Hedge fund · Multi-strategy

Key metrics: Sample Hedge Fund International, Ltd.

USD · Cayman Islands · Multi-strategy relative value and arbitrage. Period Oct 2023 to Sep 2026 (36 months). Risk-free rate 4.50%.

Annualized return
11.61%
Oct 2023 to Sep 2026
Annualized volatility
4.24%
vs 12.38% for the S&P 500
Sharpe ratio
1.68
Risk-free rate 4.50%
Max drawdown
-2.51%
Trough Mar 2025
Correlation to benchmark
0.34
HFRI Relative Value (Total)
3-year return rank
Top 20%
Among 207 peers
At a glance

Is this fund right for a cautious, first-time investor?

The report closes with a balanced read of the evidence: three strengths and one caution.

Pros

  1. Steady compounding. 11.6% a year with 4.2% volatility; Sharpe ratio 1.68 beats 69% of its 207 Relative Value peers, and its return ranks 42nd of 208.
  2. Real alpha. The Lasso replication finds 9.4% a year of alpha with t = 4.30; the factor exposures account for only 1.7% a year.
  3. Holds up when equities fall. Beta to the S&P 500 is 0.14. In the Iran War months (Jan to Mar 2026) it made +0.8% while the S&P 500 fell 4.6%, and it averaged +0.45% in the 13 down months of the S&P 500.

Con

A softer patch and incomplete fee data. The fund has lost 2.3% since July 2026 and is still below its June peak. Only the 20% performance fee is recorded, so the estimated 2.9% a year in fees leaves out any management fee or pass-through expenses. Minimum and subscription terms are not recorded, and redemptions are quarterly.

Performance

Statistics, annual returns and growth of 100

The fund against two benchmarks over the same 36 months. Switch benchmark columns on or off to focus the comparison.

Columns
MetricSample Hedge Fund International, Ltd.HFRI Relative Value (Total) IndexS&P 500 Index
Annualized return11.61%7.27%21.29%
Annualized volatility4.24%1.82%12.38%
Skewness-0.21-1.040.13
Excess kurtosis0.801.570.06
Annual Sharpe ratio (Rf 4.50%)1.681.521.36
Sortino ratio (MAR 4.50%)3.202.512.72
Correlation to Benchmark 10.341.000.69
Beta to Benchmark 10.801.004.69
Annualized tracking error vs Benchmark 13.99%0.00%11.21%
Max monthly loss-2.15%-1.14%-5.75%
Normal monthly VaR 99%-1.92%-0.63%-6.63%
Modified monthly VaR 99% (Cornish-Fisher)-2.32%-1.01%-6.31%
Conditional monthly VaR 99% (historical)-2.15%-1.14%-5.75%
Max drawdown-2.51%-1.14%-7.81%
Date of max drawdownMar 2025Sep 2026Apr 2025
Max time under water (months)424

All figures are computed from monthly returns returned by the AlternativeSoft connector. Benchmark 1's own correlation, beta and tracking error read 1.000, 1.000 and 0.00% by construction. The date of max drawdown is the trough month.

Annual returnsClick the series to show or hide them, hover a bar for the exact figure.

Series2023 (Oct to Dec)202420252026 YTD
Sample Hedge Fund International, Ltd.2.1%14.6%10.2%7.8%
HFRI Relative Value (Total) Index2.6%8.6%7.5%3.0%
S&P 500 Index11.2%23.3%16.4%11.8%

Cumulative returns and rolling riskClick any chart to enlarge it.

Click to enlarge
Growth of 100
Monthly compounding
Growth of 100 for the fund, the HFRI Relative Value (Total) Index and the S&P 500 from October 2023 to September 2026
Click to enlarge
12-month rolling volatility
Annualized
12-month rolling annualized volatility of the fund and both benchmarks
Click to enlarge
12-month rolling correlation
Fund vs each benchmark
12-month rolling correlation of the fund with the HFRI Relative Value (Total) Index and the S&P 500
Click to enlarge
Drawdown from previous peak
Fund and both benchmarks
Drawdown from previous peak for the fund and both benchmarks

Monthly returns (%)Sample Hedge Fund International, Ltd.

Year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Year
2026
1.44
0.62
-1.23
2.72
2.37
4.12
-2.15
-0.06
-0.12
-
-
-
7.81
2025
0.52
-1.29
-1.24
0.61
1.75
1.74
0.81
1.31
1.46
1.60
0.53
2.01
10.19
2024
1.50
0.19
1.92
1.21
0.82
0.97
0.33
0.75
1.17
0.41
2.28
2.22
14.64
2023
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
0.62
1.21
0.23
2.07
LossGainMonthly returns in %. Hover a cell for the month.
Risk

Drawdowns, stress periods and market sensitivity

How deep the losses went, how long recovery took, and how the fund behaved when its benchmark and the equity market fell.

Worst drawdowns

#StartTroughEndDrawdownTime under water (m)HFRI RV Index (peak to trough)
1Feb 2025Mar 2025May 2025-2.51%40.68%
2Jul 2026Sep 2026Ongoing-2.33%3-0.74%
3Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026-1.23%1-0.29%

Window Oct 2023 to Sep 2026 (last 3 years). The deepest fall, -2.5% in Feb to Mar 2025, was recovered by May 2025; the Jul to Sep 2026 drawdown (-2.3%) is still open at Sep 2026. COVID-19 and the Ukrainian War fall before the window; only the Iran War (Jan to Mar 2026) is inside it.

Fund return during the 5 negative benchmark monthsBenchmark: HFRI Relative Value (Total) Index

MonthHFRI Relative Value (Total) IndexSample Hedge Fund International, Ltd.Outperformance
Sep 2026-1.14%-0.12%+1.02%
Mar 2026-0.29%-1.23%-0.94%
Oct 2023-0.18%0.62%+0.80%
Apr 2025-0.13%0.61%+0.74%
Mar 2025-0.03%-1.24%-1.21%

Stress test: Iran War

Financial crisisWindowSample Hedge Fund International, Ltd.HFRI RV IndexS&P 500Outperf. vs B1Outperf. vs B2
Iran WarJan 2026 to Mar 20260.81%1.68%-4.63%-0.87%+5.44%

Fund return during the 10 worst S&P 500 months

Click to enlarge
Worst 10 benchmark months
S&P 500 Index versus the fund
Fund return during the 10 worst S&P 500 months

Convexity report versus the S&P 500Quadratic fit: y = c0 + c1·x + c2·x²

Click to enlarge
Fund vs S&P 500 monthly returns
With quadratic fit
Scatter of fund versus S&P 500 monthly returns with a quadratic fit
Click to enlarge
Average monthly return in up and down S&P 500 months
23 up months, 13 down months
Average monthly return of the fund and the S&P 500 in up and down months
BetaConvexity c (x²)t (x²)Up-market betaDown-market betaUp-captureDown-captureCapture spread
0.143-0.303-0.280.1420.20932.2%-21.9%54.1%

The curvature term is not statistically significant (|t| = 0.28 < 1.96). Up and down months: 23 and 13. A negative down-capture means the fund's average return was positive in months the S&P 500 fell. Small sample: 36 months.

Peer group

Where the fund stands against 207 peers

Calendar-year returns against the HFRI Relative Value (Total) Index constituents. Bars show the 5th to 95th percentile bands, green is the best quartile, and the circle marks the fund.

Click to enlarge
Calendar-year returns vs peer group (207 funds)
Oct 2023 to Sep 2026
Calendar-year fund returns against peer group quartile bands
Return 2026 YTDFund 7.81% · Peer median 3.49%
Bottom of peersBeats 89% of peers
Top 11%
Return 2024Fund 14.64% · Peer median 9.44%
Bottom of peersBeats 87% of peers
Top 13%
Annualized return (Oct 2023 to Sep 2026)Fund 11.61% · Peer median 8.03%
Bottom of peersBeats 80% of peers
Top 20%
Return 2025Fund 10.19% · Peer median 7.97%
Bottom of peersBeats 72% of peers
Top 28%

Rank is the share of the 207 HFRI Relative Value (Total) constituents the fund beats; every fund is measured by the connector over the same Oct 2023 to Sep 2026 window. Sharpe = (return - 4.5%) ÷ volatility for all funds.

ETF replication

Factor alpha: how much of the return is skill?

A two-step Lasso replicates the fund with factor proxies. What the factors cannot explain is alpha.

Annual alpha
9.42%
α×12
t-stat of alpha
4.30
Significant at 5%
R² / adj. R²
0.53 / 0.47
36 monthly observations
Tracking error
3.08%
Annualized
ETF replica return
1.66%
Annualized
Fund net return
11.61%
Annualized
How the two-step Lasso works

Step 1: Lasso (LassoCV, 10-fold time-series cross-validation, standardised factors, intercept not penalised) on the 16 factors of the connector's "lasso factors" set with complete data. It kept Commodity momentum (AltERS), Commodity short volatility (AltERS), Fixed-income carry (AltERS), Fixed-income trend (AltERS), FX carry (AltERS), FX trend (AltERS), Treasury 7 to 10y, Commodities (GSCI roll), Micro-cap and S&P 500.

Step 2: OLS with intercept on the kept factors plus the S&P 500, which is always kept, then backward elimination until every non-forced factor has p < 0.05 (dropped: Fixed-income carry p=0.99, Commodity short volatility p=0.87, Commodity momentum p=0.83, Fixed-income trend p=0.21, Treasury 7 to 10y p=0.20, Micro-cap p=0.26). ETF replica = Σβ̂·F; replication = α̂ + Σβ̂·F; annual alpha = α̂ × 12.

Where the return came fromPercent a year

Factor return (ETF replica, Σβ̂·F)
1.66%
+ Gross alpha (net - factor + fee)
12.84%
- Fees (est., 0.0% + 20% of gross)
-2.90%
= Net return
11.61%

Factor exposures in the final model

FactorProxyStep 1 Lasso βStep 2 OLS βtpSignificant at 5%
Alpha (monthly)Interceptn/a0.78%4.300.000Yes
FX carry (AltERS)AltERS VW FX Carry Global Index0.2150.3522.280.030Yes
FX trend (AltERS)AltERS VW FX Momentum Time Series Trend Index0.2420.2732.630.013Yes
Commodities (GSCI roll)iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF-0.060-0.095-3.270.003Yes
S&P 500S&P500 Index0.0410.1293.030.005Yes
Fit statisticValue
R² / adjusted R²0.530 / 0.470
F-stat (4, 31)8.75 (p 0.0001)
Durbin-Watson2.31
Tracking error (residual sd × √12)3.08%
Lasso λ (CV)0.0008
Click to enlarge
Factor betas: final Step 2 model
Red = significant at 5%; S&P 500 is forced in
Bar chart of factor betas in the final Step 2 model
Click to enlarge
Growth of 100: fund, replication and ETF replica
Replication = alpha + sum of beta x factor; ETF replica = what the factor ETFs alone delivered
Growth of 100 for the fund, the replication and the ETF replica
Reading the result. 36 monthly observations against 16 candidate factors. Step 1 kept 10; step 2 left FX carry (β 0.35, p 0.030), FX trend (β 0.27, p 0.013), commodities (β -0.10, p 0.003) and the S&P 500 (β 0.13, p 0.005). The annual alpha of 9.4% has t = 4.30 and is statistically different from zero. The ETF replica alone returned 1.7% a year of the fund's 11.6% (R² 0.53): almost all of the return is not explained by the factors.
Fee ranking

Gross fee versus alpha

What the fund charges, how that compares with the HFRI Relative Value (Total) Index peers, and whether the alpha covers it.

Annual alpha (2-step Lasso)
9.42%
Total fee collected / yr
2.90%
Fee coverage ratio
3.25×
Alpha ÷ fee
Percentile total-fee ranking
90 / 206
44th percentile
Gross return (est.)
14.51%
Performance fee collected
2.90%

Fund versus peers

MeasureSample Hedge Fund International, Ltd.Peer medianPeer minPeer maxRank (1 = cheapest)
Management fee0.00%1.50%0.00%2.35%1= / 206
Performance fee rate20%20%0%30%88= / 206
Performance fee collected / yr2.90%1.81%0.00%9.18%167 / 206
Total fee / yr2.90%3.19%0.20%11.18%90 / 206
Jensen alpha ÷ total fee1.62×0.56×-11.18×27.20×36 / 206
Basis of calculation

Gross return = net annualized return ÷ (1 - performance fee) + management fee; total fee = gross return × performance fee + management fee (performance fee = 0 when net return ≤ 0). Fee coverage ratio = annual alpha (2-step Lasso) ÷ total fee. Fund: 11.61% ÷ 0.80 + 0% = 14.51% gross; 14.51% × 20% + 0% = 2.90% total fee.

The peer row "Jensen alpha ÷ total fee" uses Jensen alpha = ret - [4.50% + β × (S&P 500 21.29% - 4.50%)] for every fund including the fund shown here (β 0.14, Jensen alpha 4.71%); rank 1 = highest coverage. Fees for the fund (0.00% / 20%): performance fee 20% from the connector; management fee not recorded, taken as 0%. Two peers with blank fee fields were excluded.

Peer total fee collected per yearNumber of peers per bucket; red marks the fund (2.90%)

Click to enlarge
Peer total fee collected per year
Number of peers per bucket
Histogram of peer total fee collected per year with the fund highlighted
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